The NFC West is loaded, but the Cardinals have the talent to win the division. A great passing defense helped elevate this Vikings team to a 122 record. Throw in Trent Dilfer leading the other offense and a game that was never competitive, and this is easily the worst Super Bowl of all-time. It took just seven wins for Washington to top the NFC East last season, and FPI still doesn't think much of the division a year later. Brown, setting the stage for Jones to have a huge first season in Tennessee. Ron Jaworski, Harold Carmichael, and Wilbert Montgomery all had a part in this offense. This might be controversial among Bills fans, but this team was just as good as the year before. Ryan Tannehill has been a top five quarterback over the last two seasons and it hasn't been talked about enough. Now, by most accounts, the Steelers were great in 1974. A game remembered more for trick plays and bad refereeing than the actual quality of either team, the Pittsburgh Steelers emerged victorious in their effort to send Jerome Bettis off into the sunset in style. Miamis three points is still the fewest points scored in a Super Bowl. This Bills team should have won a Super Bowl and it is hard to believe looking back. Their strategy to run it back with nearly the same squad looks (on paper) like it could pay off; the Bucs have an 85% chance to reach the playoffs and a 15% shot to repeat as champions, according to FPI. To no surprise: It's the Patrick Mahomes-led offense -- which includes Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and a rebuilt offensive line -- that leads the way and is more than 2.5 points per game better than the next-best offense (Green Bay). The first of the Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowls gave us those beautiful NFL Films shots of Lynn Swanns acrobatic catch. Los Angeles Rams +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total). The teams combined for 11 turnovers. 29 and 30. There was a reason the Colts were heavily favored going into the big game: The Jets were not all that good. Miami Dolphins +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total), Miami led the NFL in two categories that they are unlikely to duplicate: takeaways (29) and 3rd down defense (31%); they were also seventh in red zone defense. If Lance does beat out Garoppolo, that would be a sign he is comparable to the veteran, and thus a downgrade might not make sense. A great defense and front seven, but their running game hit on all cylinders with 2.305 total team rushing yards. Dallas got out to an early 10-point lead and never looked back. The Chiefs defense also surrendered 31 points. 1 pick. Baltimore has a unique spot on this list because its inclusion is not based on mediocre talent (it had players like Bubba Smith and Johnny Unitas) or that it struggled to win games (the Colts went 11-2-1). The model gains confidence because of all of the returning starters from an already good unit. This 97 Cardinals team scored 78. Theres a reason teams from the NFC North are so low here, and its the schedule. Denver got out to a 10-0 lead before Washington dropped a Super Bowl-record 35 points in the second quarter on the Broncos defense. Two years ago, the 49ers were 10 minutes away from winning the Super Bowl, and they return eight defensive starters from that team. Between free agency and players opting back in from 2020, New England had a massive talent infusion.. FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense It has happened 8 times to 7 different teams. Interestingly enough, not only has no team won 3 in a row, not a single team has ever made it back to It was all downhill for Chicago after Devin Hester returned the opening kick for a touchdown. It all makes for a nice story, but the fact remains that the Giants were not a superb team. This game will be remembered for two plays: The surprise onside kick to start the second half and Tracy Porters game-sealing pick-6 of Manning. So their overall grade suffered. The Bills could not close the deal in this four-year span, and most frustrating of all, all these teams were pretty well-balanced. The team that benefited from Norwood's egregious error, the New York Giants, was not particularly exceptional. And they should open 2-0, meaning their odds will get even shorter., Too much turnover on the offensive line for my liking, though, as 37-year old Aaron Rodgers will open the season with three new starters., 7. They had a four-game losing streak, two in overtime, they were actually really good on both offense and defense. This was a great Super Bowl, but can we stop saying the Titans were one yard short of winning it? 9. New York had to scrap its way to the Super Bowl. Those first three are the Broncos' first three games of the season, an easy slate right off the bat. WebWell looking at it from a "in comparison to the rest of the league that year" perspective, as far as defenses that allowed the most points, these rank as the 3 worst defenses to win a Super Bowl: 2011 Giants were the 25th ranked defense 2006 Colts were the 23rd ranked defense 2009 Saints were the 20th ranked defense FPI believes there is an 8% chance that the Chiefs face the Bucs again, more than any other potential matchup. Cleveland hasn't been in a position to win a Super Bowl since Bernie Kosar led the franchise to consecutive AFC Championship Game appearances in the mid-1980s. The 2005 Steelers are a prime example. It truly is a remarkable tale, but the Patriots were nothing special on the way there. The AFL just wasn't ready yet, but they were still very good for AFL standards with an 11-2-1 record. The 49ers' projection is based on the assumption that Jimmy Garoppolo is the starting quarterback. WebThe Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. Despite the memorable moments, this game was a bit of a letdown with two Hall of Fame quarterbacks not putting on the offensive show we expected. This is how good the NFC West is: There's a 37% chance that three of the four teams reach the playoffs, and there's even a 3% chance that all four get in. The Jaguars are still going to be exciting to watch in 2021 as Urban Meyer is the best college coach to enter the NFL in years, having arguably the most talented quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck in Trevor Lawrence. Another Broncos blowout. So much needs to go right for the Broncos to get into the playoffs, much less the Super Bowl. The Texans did finish 4-12 last season, even as Watson reached career highs in completion percentage (70.2), passing yards (4,823), touchdown passes (33). Matt Rhule is building something in Carolina as he enters his second year, taking a chance he can resurrect Sam Darnold's career. Again, FPI doesn't think the division is much-improved. Seriously, the Vikings are never allowed to make another Super Bowl. That doesn't even sound like a real record, let alone a division winner. While that's a long shot with Kansas City in the conference, both the Ravens and Browns have at least a 10% shot to pull it off. Gruden did bring the Raiders back from almost a decade of ineptness and he did win a Super Bowl against the Raiders, but the rest of his career he was pretty much a .500 coach. IMPORTANT NOTE: I used my own mathematical point system involving team records, offensive production, and defensive production to determine the order. On footballs biggest stage we want games featuring memorable teams, star players, plays that well never forget and compelling storylines. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. 1 in just about every projection you can imagine, including projected wins (11.5) and chances to reach the playoffs (89%), win their division (72%), be the No. In the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh managed just 16 points and won a defensive slugfest 16-6. Yes, the Chiefs -- not the Super Bowl-champion Buccaneers -- are projected to be the best team and also have the best chances to hoist the Lombardi trophy next February. Replying to @GoBirds___ and @FanDuel. Which one is the most likely to remove itself from this dubious list? The New York team that was crowned champion was far from elite. They had an unimpressive 115 record, but the 2002 Raiders were a well-balanced, finely tuned machine. Everyone's mind goes to Rex Grossman, but people forget this overall team was more than their quarterback. But even with all that, its not even the best Super Bowl of the last two years. Los Angeles Chargers +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total), The world loves the Chargers after Justin Herberts incredible rookie year (record-setting 31 TDs). They were also had to win all their road playoff games, which during the time, was unheard of. The defense got a huge boost with the signing of Haason Reddick and top 10 pick Jaycee Horn, but Carolina still has to deal with Tampa Bay and New Orleans in the NFC South. It was the biggest upset in football history for a reason. The 1991 Redskins might be the greatest team in NFL history, which bumps this game up a few spots. Were on a run of blowouts now. Two good-but-not-great teams playing an uncompetitive game with an unforgettable MVP? The Falcons still have Matt Ryan at quarterback, who has thrown for the most passing yards in the league over the last three years and has a emerging star in Calvin Ridley and a game-changing tight end in rookie first-rounderKyle Pitts. I did not mean to rhyme there. 22. Super Bowl V between the Baltimore Colts and Dallas Cowboys is often considered the worst Super Bowl ever played simply because of the terrible play from both teams. They're returning the 2020 MVP and had the league's most efficient offense last year -- yes, even better than Kansas City's. The Broncos could muster only 35 net passing yards. The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. Reeling off 11 straight road wins was impressive, and so was beating the top two seeded teams in the NFC en route to the title game (Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys). This team just wasn't ready yet. They started 1-7, fought back into playoff contention, and cratered down the stretch behind backup QB Colt McCoy.. You won't believe how good some of these teams were. Buffalo also went 6-1 in one-score games, including the playoff win over the Colts. He had a gambling podcast for FOX, "Coming Up Winners," in 2018 and 2019. With an 11-2-1 record, this group was one of many Vikings teams that should have won the big game. 2) The AFC North is a filthy, disgusting mosh pit whence nobody comes out alive. Therefore, designating Garoppolo as the starter seemed the safer choice. 14. The Bills are good enough to get to the Super Bowl this year -- and win it. 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