You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Sleeper pick: Garrick Higgo, +14,000. Gambling problem? Since 2020, he has 17 top-10 finishes, and 12 of them would be on difficult courses. Top 3 High Value Sleepers and Sleeper Picks and Predictions for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA Golf Tournament Running from March 2 to 5 2023. This is the week he climbs the mountain. Finau is also playing outstanding golf of late. While every player in the field can most likely drive the green, it is very small and surrounded by multiple deep bunkers. Whether youre a new bettor browsing futures odds for The Masters, a casual fan betting on Rory McIlroy to finish in the top five, a longtime diehard breaking down weather trends in Hawaii, theres something for everyone. It includes pre-event rankings, round-specific scoring averages, birdie percentages, weighted approach ratings, and ownership projections for tomorrow's showdown slate. Let's analyze Tipico. , followed by my betting card for the week. Round 2 Strategy. There are three players in the top 20 of the Official World Golf Rankings - No. By taking a look at yesterday's ownership, we can get an idea of where people will be willing to go in Round 3 (DK points include finishing position). Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. The Genesis Invitational is Feb. 16-19 at Riviera Country Club. Byron Lindeque - Keegan Bradley 6. Editor's Note: In addition to PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, fans can also participate in the PGA Championship's fantasy game this week and win merchandise from Southern Hills. Sleeper pick: Matt Jones, +17,500. I still feel that were bound to get a run in DJs career where he rolls off a few major victories. The two-time PGA champion barely cracked. GOLF.COM may earn a fee. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesn't mean we can't take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. The career renaissance is capped by his first major win. Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. 19+ in Ontario. Each lineup consists. To-win: Matthew Fitzpatrick, +6,000. Hes second on Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and is one of the best/craftiest players around the greens, too. ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! He just closed out his second season of the last five as the runner-up on its Order of Merit. In his last five starts, all on his native circuit, hes finished T6, T7, second, second and third. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. If you dont pick him to win, be sure to grab him at +450 to top-10. Joe Nicely - Max Homa 3. The West Coast Swing on the PGA Tour will conclude this week, and it may have saved the best for last. section: | slug: 2023-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-predictions-field-odds-golf-expert-fading-justin-thomas-at-bay-hill | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | And when hes not writing about ways to hit the golf ball farther and straighter, the Milwaukee native is probably playing the game, hitting the ball left, right and short, and drinking a cold beer to wash away his score. That includes going 2-for-2 in the set last year. He popped for a solo third in Mississippi in the fall and has added a pair of top 20s in the last four weeks. Its time for the Class of 2011 to bag another one. You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIACwhen purchasing aPGA Premium Pass. Aaron Rai (+225 for a Top 20) Last year this week, Sepp Straka was a Sleeper at +400 for a Top 20. Its been a quietly strong season for the veteran, who has added a much-improved short game to his power repertoire. Gambling problem? Im betting that bombing it will matter less than plain old grit. 21 years of age or older to wager. For his part, defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy says that no-cut events are nothing new on the PGA Tour. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. Like what you read today? After most of the top players did not play in last weeks. The expert also just missed a massive 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. OK, so thats a lot of animals and a tenuous connection to the free-spirited 33-year-old who has set the snail loose on occasion but is unlikely to make an appearance if his owner remains consistent at PGA National, home of, naturally, The Bear Trap, which has revealed a softer underbelly when Hubbard has appeared. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks Honda Classic, they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando. At just over 7,200 yards, the course is average by PGA Tour standards and doesnt favor the longer or shorter hitters. He had been sidelined for two-and-a-half months with an injured back before returning for a T18 (with Matt Wallace) at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. Shane Lowryis the first Irishman we look to roster heavily as he has a fantastic around-the-green game and is comfortable in the wind. Sam Horsfield(+200 for a Top 40) When youre talented, youre talented. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. The result marks Kirk's. Sign up today or log in to your account to get closer to the action on the course! 20 Shane Lowry - and eight in the top 50. Kevin Erickson March 4, 2023 8:42 am ET In a lightweight bout on the main card, Mateusz Gamrot takes on Jalin Turner Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Mega chalk: A popular player who played well yesterday. Bottom line: This is a week where the best players rise to the top, and it may be wise to avoid the long shots. The message was that hes balanced and playing well upon arrival. The 29-year-old has finished in the top 20 in all five appearances at this event, including third last year and second in 2021. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the St. Francis vs. Fairleigh Dickinson odds, and make our. Tony FinauandWill Zalatorisboth sit a little further down the leaderboard, particularly Will, but both have sensational R3 scoring averages very close to Scottie's, which we are hoping to capitalize on tomorrow. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. Hes also 4-for-5 in 2023 with a T29 last week at Riviera where he flashed his game in a microcosm. The 2019 Open Champion has proven he can compete in windy conditions. Big whoop. 1. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. McDonald nailed the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice. Since Flag Hunting formed at the start of the 2021-22 season, I've cashed a total of 14 outright tickets in 58 events (a nearly 25% hit rate) and profited nearly $12,000 from betting just $350 . He will be someone we lean on most as he will provide a lot of leverage sitting in T53 right now. The One and Done format is growing in . Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Aaron Baddeley intrigues me as his short game is really impressive and a few long puts or chip-ins can grab him a bunch of points. ***Full disclosure: The ownership numbers are based on the $10K Drive The Green $5 Single Entry contest, which is important to note as ownership in showdown can vary from contest to contest depending on field size and entry fee. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. 21 years of age or older to wager. That was the first event worldwide since last summer in which the No. Despite its spot on the schedule, the Charles Schwab Challenge is boasting a solid field just a few days after the conclusion of the 104th PGA Championship. Horschel is one of the streakiest players on the PGA Tour, as when he's on top of his game, he can compete with anyone. To-win: Daniel Berger, +3,000. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? New Customer Offer (if applicable). Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. Emilliano Grillo has been hot and cold in both rounds he has played so far. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. None of those four players were inside the top 10 of my model, although Fitzpatrick was No. Not only is the Genesis Invitational played at Riviera Country Club, one of the most elite courses in the country, but its a designated event, so all the top players on the PGA Tour are in the field, including tournament host Tiger Woods. Play with trusted, licensed operators. I still have faith the 20 Masters was the start of it, and it will pick up at the 21 PGA Championship. His third at the RSM Classic, at Sea Island, last fall proved hes comfortable on breezy oceanside courses. McIlroy has had a ton of success at this tournament. Lastly, course history plays more of a factor than in most weeks. The Arnold Palmer Invitational, a designated event, is March 2-5. Now, McClure has dialed in on the 2023 Honda Classic golf tournament, and just locked in his one and done picks and PGA predictions. Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. There were some concerns about his back after he withdrew from the Sentry Tournament of Champions, but he finished T-3 at The American Express and T-13 at the Farmers Insurance Open. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with a 9.52% implied probability. And when I looked at the 2012 leaderboard and saw three Englishmen in the top six (and Rory McIlroy from Northern Ireland winning), this pick began to look really good to me. Trying to predict the weather is starting to seem rather impossible. But, as of Tuesday, winds are forecasted to be light. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. Tiger Woods, Bryson DeChambeau, and Rory McIlroy have won, but so have shorter hitters like Francesco Molinari and Matt Every. It's a smaller PGA Tour field this week, but it's a much larger purse and the field is stacked with stars for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Each lineup consists. Was Xander Schauffele allergic to the lead on Sunday at Augusta? This will be Woods first official PGA Tour event since the 2022 Open Championship. OK, so thats a lot of animals and a tenuous connection to the free-spirited 33-year-old who has set the snail loose on occasion but is unlikely to make an appearance if his owner remains consistent at PGA National, home of, naturally, The Bear Trap, which has revealed a softer underbelly when Hubbard has appeared. One of McClure's top one and done picks this week for the Honda Classic is 24-year-old Sungjae Im. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. Set a budget. The Aussie has had some great performances on tough golf courses this year (T8 at the Genesis, a win at the Honda). The season's fourth designated event tees off Thursday outside Orlando, Fla., and the field for the second leg of the Florida swing looks much different than the first. He's in the top 10 on tour for greens in regulation,. Corey Conners shot 66 (-6) and lead the field in fantasy points, taking advantage of the rather benign conditions this morning. Performance always is relative, but no one has a better scoring average on the JGTO. You can view live odds from the first round through the final round. For live odds, visit BetMGM. So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. already this season, including two designated events. So at plus money to finish in the top 20, it seems like a no-brainer. The American Express Sleepers Tom Hoge +4000 Odds to Win Hoge is one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour. This article is going to take a look at showdown slates after each completed round. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the. The Georgia product has shown up a few times at majors in recent years, and with this having a major-like feel, it wouldnt be a surprise to see Harman on the first page of the leaderboard at some point this week. Weve come a long way with Rickie that hes now considered a long shot. In four events in the 2023 calendar year, his worst finish is T-16 at the American Express. OK, lets continue. (But maybe sprinkle in a top 10 bet just to make sure. All three of these golfers provide the upside that can be found in the $10k range, at a price and ownership discount (excluding Cantlay's ownership). Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. All of our market picks are independently selected and curated by the editorial team. ET at Cashman Field (FX). To-win: Xander Schauffele, +1,700. Caddies dont matter a ton, except when they do. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. You can too! Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a T66 well back of Strakas championship pace. Hes fresh off a spirited run of performances on the Asian Tour, including his first victory on the circuit two weeks ago. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. But McDonald knows "inefficiencies in the other aspects of his game" will be tough to overcome at Bay Hill. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills Lifestyle PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills By: Nick Piastowski May. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring.